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All publications

Books

• O'Hagan A, Buck CE, Daneshkhah A, Eiser JR, Garthwaite PH, Jenkinson DJ, Oakley JE & Rakow T (2006) . Wiley.

Journal articles

• Regayre LA, Prévost LMC, Ghosh K, Johnson JS, Oakley JE, Owen J, Webb I & Carslaw KS (2026) . Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 26(3), 2293-2317.
• Salsbury JA, Oakley JE, Julious SA & Hampson LV (2024) . Statistics in Medicine, 43(19), 3595-3612.
• Fathi F, Oakley JE & de Borst R (2024) . International Journal for Numerical Methods in Engineering, 125(16).
• Jurek L, Baltazar M, Gulati S, Novakovic N, Núñez M, Oakley J & O’Hagan A (2023) . European Child & Adolescent Psychiatry, 32(2), 367-367.
• Coveny S, Roney C, Corrado C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Niederer S & Clayton R (2022) . Scientific Reports, 12.
• Coveney S, Corrado C, Oakley JE, Wilkinson RD, Niederer SA & Clayton RH (2021) . Frontiers in Physiology, 12, 765622-765622.
• Coveny S, Corrado C, Oakley J, Wilkinson R, Niederer S & Clayton R (2021) . Frontiers in Physiology, 12.
• Jurek L, Balthazar M, Gulati S, Novakovic N, Núñez M, Oakley J & O'Hagan A (2021) . European Child and Adolescent Psychiatry.
• Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O’Hare D, Williams SE, O’Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 378(2173).
• Corrado C, Razeghi O, Roney C, Coveney S, Williams S, Sim I, O'Neill M, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Clayton R & Niederer S (2020) . Medical Image Analysis, 61.
• Stevenson M, Uttley L, Oakley JE, Carroll C, Chick SE & Wong R (2020) . Health Technology Assessment, 24(11), 1-150.
• Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Lindgren F, Williams S, O'Neill M, Niederer S & Clayton R (2020) . IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering, 67(1), 99-109.
• McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley J, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White R (2018) . PLoS ONE, 13(5).
• Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2018) . Medical Decision Making, 38(4), 531-542.
• McKinley TJ, Vernon I, Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2018) . Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 33(1), 4-18.
• McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White RG (2017) . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(1).
• Andrianakis I, McCreesh N, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsugua RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2017) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 5(1), 694-719.
• Andrianakis I, Vernon I, McCreesh N, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2017) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 66(4), 717-740.
• McCreesh N, Andrianakis I, Nsubuga RN, Strong M, Vernon I, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Goldstein M, Hayes R & White RG (2017) . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(1), 322.
• Oakley JE & Youngman BD (2017) . Technometrics, 59(1), 80-92.
• Strong M, Oakley JE, Brennan A & Breeze P (2015) . Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583.
• Andrianakis I, Vernon IR, McCreesh N, McKinley TJ, Oakley JE, Nsubuga RN, Goldstein M & White RG (2015) . PLOS Computational Biology, 11(1).
• Strong M, Oakley JE & Brennan A (2014) . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
• Strong M & Oakley JE (2014) . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
• Ren S & Oakley JE (2014) . Statistics in Medicine, 33(1), 31-45.
• Morris DE, Oakley JE & Crowe JA (2014) . Environmental Modelling and Software, 52, 1-4.
• Strong M, Brennan A & Oakley J (2013) . Trials, 14(S1).
• Fricker TE, Oakley JE & Urban NM (2013) . Technometrics, 55(1), 47-56.
• Strong M & Oakley JE (2013) . Med Decis Making, 33(6), 755-766.
• Becker W, Oakley JE, Surace C, Gili P, Rowson J & Worden K (2012) Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a nonlinear finite element model. Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing.
• Wilkinson RD, Vrettas M, Cornford D & Oakley JE (2011) . Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, 16(4), 554-570.
• Strong M, Oakley JE & Chilcott J (2011) Managing structural uncertainty in health economic decision models: A discrepancy approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
• Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley JE, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2011) . Journal of Biomechanics, 44(8), 1499-1506.
• Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley JE, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2011) . J Biomech, 44(8), 1499-1506.
• Strong M & Oakley JE (2011) . Med Decis Making, 31(4), 571-581.
• Wilkinson RD, Vrettas M, Cornford D & Oakley JE (2011) Quantifying Simulator Discrepancy in Discrete-Time Dynamical Simulators. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics, 1-17.
• Fricker TE, Oakley JE, Sims ND & Worden K (2011) . Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 25(8), 2962-2975.
• Oakley JE, Brennan A, Tappenden P & Chilcott J (2010) . J Health Econ, 29(3), 468-477.
• Stevenson MD, Oakley JE, Chick SE & Chalkidou K (2009) . J OPER RES SOC, 60(4), 506-518.
• Conti S, Gosling JP, Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2009) . BIOMETRIKA, 96(3), 663-676.
• Stevenson MD, Oakley JE, Lloyd Jones M, Brennan A, Compston JE, McCloskey EV & Selby PL (2009) . Med Decis Making, 29(6), 678-689.
• Oakley JE (2009) . TECHNOMETRICS, 51(2), 121-129.
• Nixon RM, O'Hagan A, Oakley J, Madan J, Stevens JW, Bansback N & Brennan A (2009) . PHARM STAT, 8(4), 371-389.
• Karnon J, McIntosh A, Dean J, Bath P, Hutchinson A, Oakley J, Thomas N, Pratt P, Freeman-Parry L, Karsh B-T , Gandhi T et al (2008) . J Health Serv Res Policy, 13(2), 85-91.
• Coyle D & Oakley J (2008) . European Journal of Health Economics, 9(3), 251-259.
• Gosling JP, Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2007) Nonparametric elicitation for heavy-tailed prior distributions. BAYESIAN ANAL, 2(4), 693-718.
• Karnon J, McIntosh A, Dean J, Bath P, Hutchinson A, Oakley J, Thomas N, Pratt P, Freeman-Parry L, Karsh BT , Gandhi T et al (2007) . SAFETY SCI, 45(4), 523-539.
• Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2007) . BIOMETRIKA, 94(2), 427-441.
• Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2005) Description of an individual patient methodology for calculating the cost-effectiveness of treatments for osteoporosis in women. J OPER RES SOC, 56(2), 214-221.
• Stevenson M, Jones ML, De Nigris E, Brewer N, Davis S & Oakley J (2005) . Health Technology Assessment, 9(22).
• Oakley JE & O'Hagan A (2004) Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach. J ROY STAT SOC B, 66, 751-769.
• Tappenden P, Chilcott JB, Eggington S, Oakley J & McCabe C (2004) Methods for expected value of information analysis in complex health economic models: developments on the health economics of interferon-beta and glatiramer acetate for multiple sclerosis.. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 8(27).
• Oakley J (2004) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C Applied Statistics, 53(1), 83-93.
• Stevenson MD, Oakley J & Chilcott JB (2004) . MED DECIS MAKING, 24(1), 89-100.
• Oakley J & O'Hagan A (2002) . Biometrika, 89(4), 769-784.
• Oakley J (2002) . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series D the Statistician, 51(1), 81-97.
• Alhussain ZA & Oakley JE () . Pharmaceutical Statistics.

Book chapters

• Wilson KJ, Elfadaly FG, Garthwaite PH & Oakley JE (2021) , International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (pp. 19-51). Springer International Publishing
• Oakley JE (2011) (pp. 51-67). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 223-226). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 193-216). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 25-31). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 121-151). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 1-24). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 179-192). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 153-160). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 161-177). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 97-119). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 61-96). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 227-265). Wiley
• (2006) (pp. 33-59). Wiley

Conference proceedings

• Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2022) . Proceedings of 2021 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC) (pp 1399-1405). Melbourne, Australia, 17 October 2021 - 20 October 2021.
• Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION RELATED TO COUNTERFACTUAL VALUES: A CASE STUDY OF ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(1) (pp S274-S274)
• Hawkins N, Geue C, Oakley J, Grieve R & Hernandez M (2020) AN EXPLORATION OF THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN FALSE NEGATIVES AND FALSE POSITIVES WHEN IDENTIFYING SUBGROUP EFFECTS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E266-E267)
• Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley J, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2020) A FRAMEWORK FOR EXPERT ELICITATION TO INFORM SUBGROUP ANALYSES IN CLINICAL TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(5) (pp E410-E411)
• Jones OPH, Oakley JE & Purshouse RC (2019) Toward a unified framework for model calibration and optimisation in virtual engineering workflows. 2019 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS, MAN AND CYBERNETICS (SMC) (pp 3148-3153)
• Jones O, Oakley JE & Purshouse R (2018) . Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2018) (pp 689-696). Kyoto, Japan, 15 July 2018 - 15 July 2018.
• Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2017) . Value in Health, Vol. 20(9) (pp A770-A770)
• Malde S, Wyncoll D, Oakley J, Tozer N & Gouldby B (2016) . E3S Web of Conferences, Vol. 7 (pp 04002-04002)
• Strong M, Brennan A & Oakley J (2015) . Value Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726). Milan, Italy, 7 November 2015 - 7 November 2015.
• Becker W, Rowson J, Oakley J, Yoxall A, Manson G & Worden K (2008) Bayesian sensitivity analysis of a large nonlinear model. Proceedings of ISMA 2008, Vol. 1-8 (pp 3723-3736). Belgium, 15 September 2008 - 15 September 2008.
• Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and teriparatide in women with a prior fracture, low BMD and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S39)
• Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Calvert NW, Lloyd-Jones M, Oakley JE & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D in women with low dietary calcium intake. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S39-S40)
• O'Hagan A & Oakley JE (2004) . RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, Vol. 85(1-3) (pp 239-248)
• Stevenson MD, Brazier JE, Lloyd-Jones M, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of bisphosphonates, raloxifene and hormone replacement therapy in women with established osteoporosis and replete of calcium and vitamin D. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S111-S111)
• Stevenson MD, Lloyd-Jones M, Brazier JE, Calvert N, Oakley J & Kanis JA (2004) The cost-effectiveness of calcium and vitamin D supplementation in women with low dietary intake of these nutrients and at risk of osteoporosis. OSTEOPOROSIS INTERNATIONAL, Vol. 15 (pp S87-S88)
• Oakley J & O’Hagan A (2002) (pp 119-130)
• Lopes S, Niranjan M & Oakley J (2001) (pp 497-500)
• Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney C, D. Wilkinson R, Oakley J, niederer S & H. Clayton" R () . Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC)
• Corrado C, Williams S, Sim I, Coveney S, O'Neill M, Wilkinson R, Oakley J, Clayton R & Niederer S () . 2018 Computing in Cardiology Conference (CinC), Vol. 45. Maastricht, The Netherlands, 23 September 2018 - 23 September 2018.

Posters

• Geue C, Hawkins N, Oakley JE, Grieve R, Hernandez M & Carpenter J (2022) POSB421 A Framework for Expert Elicitation Related to Counterfactual Values: A Case Study of Elicitation to Inform Subgroup Analyses in Clinical Trials..
• Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2018) Evidence synthesis with limited studies. HTAi 2018, Vancouver, Canada.
• Ren S, Oakley J & Stevens JW (2017) Evidence synthesis for health technology assessment with limited studies.. . ISPOR Glasgow 2017.

Other

• Regayre L, Prevost L, Ghosh K, Johnson J, Oakley J, Owen J, Webb I & Carslaw K (2026) .
• Johnson J, Webb I, Owen J, Oakley J, Regayre L, Ghosh K, Prévost L & Carslaw K (2026) .
• Ghosh K, Regayre LA, Prévost LMC, Johnson JS, Owen J, Webb I, Oakley J & Carslaw KS (2026) .
• Owen J, Johnson J, Oakley J, Webb I, Regayre L, Ghosh K, Prévost L & Carslaw K (2026) .
• Archer R, Ely J, Johnson J, Oakley J, Clark C, Butcher F, Dulfer H, Hughes A, Boyes B & Reese R (2025) .

Preprints

• Regayre LA, Prévost LMC, Ghosh K, Johnson JS, Oakley JE, Owen J, Webb I & Carslaw KS (2025) , Copernicus GmbH.
• Salsbury J, Oakley J, Julious S & Hampson L (2025) , arXiv.
• Salsbury J, Oakley J, Julious S & Hampson L (2023) , arXiv.
• Coveney S, Roney CH, Corrado C, Wilkinson RD, Oakley JE, Niederer SA & Clayton RH (2022) , arXiv.
• Coveney S, Corrado C, Roney CH, O'Hare D, Williams SE, O'Neill MD, Niederer SA, Clayton RH, Oakley JE & Wilkinson RD (2020) , arXiv.
• Ren S, Oakley JE & Stevens JW (2017) , arXiv.
• Alhussain ZA & Oakley JE (2017) , arXiv.
• Oakley JE & Youngman BD (2014) , arXiv.